O'ZBEKISTONDA NAIRU: INFLATSIYA VA ISHSIZLIK O'RTASIDA SAVDO (2016-2022)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55439/EIT/vol11_iss4/a29Kalit so‘zlar:
Инфляция, безработица, кривая Филлипса, NAIRU и OLSAbstrak
Iqtisodiy tahlilchilar ko'pincha Fedni ishsizlik darajasi yoki ish haqining o'sish sur'atlarini inflyatsiyaning etakchi o'lchovlari va pul-kredit siyosatini yumshatish yoki qattiqlashtirish ko'rsatkichi sifatida ishlatishga undashadi. Ushbu strategiyaning nazariyasi hozirgi Keyns makroiqtisodiyotiga, xususan, Fillips egri chizig'iga va ishsizlikning tezlashmaydigan inflyatsiya darajasiga (NAIRU) asoslangan.
Ushbu tadqiqotning asosiy maqsadi O‘zbekistondagi inflyatsiya va ishsizlik o‘rtasidagi mutanosiblikni tahlil qilish va 2016-2021 yillar davomida 6 yillik choraklik ma’lumotlar davomida NAIRUni Phillips egri chizig‘i usuli orqali hisoblash. Ushbu tadqiqotda inflyatsiya va ishsizlik darajasi o'rtasidagi bog'liqlikni aniqlash uchun NAIRU va oddiy eng kichik kvadratlar (OLS) modelini hisoblash uchun Hodrick-Prescott filtri (HP) filtri qo'llaniladi. VIF testi determinantlarning kollinearligini yoki multikollinearligini tekshirish uchun ishlatiladi va natija o'zgaruvchilar o'rtasida kollinearlik yo'qligini ko'rsatdi. OLS modeli inflyatsiya va ishsizlik o'rtasida ijobiy va sezilarli almashinuv mavjudligini ko'rsatdi, YaIM va inflyatsiya esa salbiy va ahamiyatsiz munosabatni ko'rsatdi.
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