COMPARISON OF ARIMA MODEL AND ANN MEASURES IN FORECASTING REGIONAL MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS

Mualliflar

  • Gafur Namozov Doctoral student of Termez State University. Termez,

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55439/EIT/vol10_iss5/a29

Kalit so‘zlar:

GRP volume, ARIMA model, ANN model, Box-Jenkins method, Akaike information criterion, Schwartz information criterion, forecasting

Abstrak

In this article, the process of modeling and forecasting the volume of the gross regional product of the Surkhandarya region was carried out. The forecasting efficiency of the ARIMA and ANN models is also compared. As a result, the best ARIMA model in forecasting is ARIMA (1, 0, 1)(0, 1, 0)4, and according to ANN, the model of the output neuron MLP (4-7-1) turned out to be the best. In addition, the volume of the gross regional product is predicted until 2025.

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Nashr qilingan

2022-10-31

Qanday qilib iqtibos keltirish mumkin

Namozov , G. . (2022). COMPARISON OF ARIMA MODEL AND ANN MEASURES IN FORECASTING REGIONAL MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS. Economics and Innovative Technologies, 10(5), 267–276. https://doi.org/10.55439/EIT/vol10_iss5/a29

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Tom 10 soni 5 (2022): "Иқтисодиёт ва инновацион технологиялар"

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