ЎЗБЕКИСТОНДА ИНФЛЯЦИЯНИ ТАРГЕТЛАШ СИЁСАТИГА ЎТИШ БОСҚИЧИДА МАКРОИҚТИСОДИЙ КЎРСАТКИЧЛАРИНИ ПРОГНОЗЛАШ

Authors

  • Виқоржон Баҳриддинов Тошкент давлат иқтисодиёт университети таянч докторанти (PhD)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55439/EIT/vol10_iss5/a30

Keywords:

inflation, inflation targeting, exchange rate, nominal wages, economic growth, gross domestic product, money supply

Abstract

In this paper, forecasted the main macroeconomic indicators, such as inflation, economic growth, nominal wages, money supply and exchange rate in the context of the transition to inflation targeting policy in Uzbekistan. The medium-term forecasting covers the periods from Q1 2022 to Q4 2024 using AR, VAR, ARIMA and DF models. Also, the accuracy of the forecasting model results checked by MSE, MAE and MAPE methods. Furthermore, developed conclusions and suggestions based on forecast results.

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Published

2022-10-31

How to Cite

Баҳриддинов , В. . (2022). ЎЗБЕКИСТОНДА ИНФЛЯЦИЯНИ ТАРГЕТЛАШ СИЁСАТИГА ЎТИШ БОСҚИЧИДА МАКРОИҚТИСОДИЙ КЎРСАТКИЧЛАРИНИ ПРОГНОЗЛАШ. Economics and Innovative Technologies, 10(5), 277–290. https://doi.org/10.55439/EIT/vol10_iss5/a30

Issue

Vol. 10 No. 5 (2022): "Иқтисодиёт ва инновацион технологиялар"

Section

Макроиқтисодий сиёсат ва иқтисодий ўсиш