O‘ZBEKISTONDA ISHBILARMONLIK MUHITINI RIVOJLANTIRISHNING NATIJAVIY KO‘RSATKICHLARINI PROGNOZLASH
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55439/EIT/vol13_iss6/762Keywords:
ishbilarmonlik muhiti, ARIMA modeli, VAR modeli, MAPE usuli, prognoz, kichik biznes, iqtisodiy erkinlik, institutsional muammolar.Abstract
Maqolada O‘zbekiston iqtisodiyotida ishbilarmonlik muhitini rivojlantirishning natijaviy ko‘rsatkichlarini modellashtirish va prognozlash masalalari yoritilgan. Tadqiqotda ARIMA va VAR modellari asosida real YaIM, eksport, iqtisodiy erkinlik indeksi hamda faol korxonalar soni kabi indikatorlarning o‘zaro bog‘liqligi va kelgusi tendensiyalari baholangan. Natijalar O‘zbekistonda ishbilarmonlik muhitining iqtisodiy barqarorlik va investitsion faollik bilan uzviy bog‘liqligini ko‘rsatadi. Tadqiqot mamlakatda biznes muhitini prognozlashda xalqaro metodologiyalarni milliy sharoitga moslashtirish zarurligini asoslaydi.
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